They can flatter themselves all they want to about brilliance and “progressivism,” but this Springer crowd really has no idea in the world why she won last week’s council race.
This is taken directly from a comment we made earlier today. If you’re too bored to read it through entirely, here’s the upshot. Unless things are really bad in Burbank — like immediately grave and destructive, where people are almost rioting in the streets about a problem — you can’t run more than one dissident candidate at a time. It’s historically true.
In the primary, the Establishment “We hate those ugly council critics!” supporters had three viable candidates to chose from: Talamantes, Frutos, and Springer.
After Talamantes hit 50 percent, their votes were split off to only two candidates in the runoff: Frutos and Springer. That means Talamantes’ spillover added to their totals. With two votes per ballot — split between two and not three candidates now– they both got them all. The result was a natural statistical increase for the remaining “booster” candidates.
Gordon didn’t have the same advantage. Any spillover he could get in the runoff would only have come from marginal and much lesser known candidates. At best, there weren’t enough of those votes available. Unfortunately, Burbank has a relatively static voter pool to draw upon. That’s part of the bigger problem.
None of this is brain surgery to figure out, and none of it involved a “brilliant campaign.” If there had been another popular or known “booster” candidate (or even a popular “semi” booster) in the runoff in PLACE OF GUILLEN then Gordon would have been a shoo-in to win. The two votes of each booster anti-critic resident would have then been split three ways, not two.
If you look at past Gordon victories, that’s exactly how they occurred. Unfortunately for Burbank and the way this younger and more credulous electorate always pans out now (and not as it did 25 years ago), there’s only room for one dissident candidate at a time.
Here’s an example — it was Gordon’s first victory. The “establishment” votes were split between several other candidates and Gordon slipped in:
Just wait though– when we have a reprise of the horrible late 80s and early 90s “growth” years.
Then dissidents will run freely. And win again in majorities, like the fervent mid-90s. But until things get worse it’s just one anti-establishment candidate at a time. That’s Burbank.